Hale's NFL Picks
How it's done
Hiya. You know there are many handicappers out there who
punch up a computer program and -- bam -- out come picks.
Not Hale. No sirree. Hale pores over gobs and gobs of
data, sifting through trends, match-ups, injuries and recent
performances. He picks winners for most games, and puts them
online by Friday afternoon. Any feedback -- good or bad --
is appreciated.
The Week in Review
Ouch. We got hurt on our first week being up on the Web. The
Steelers didn't play defense and gave up lots of points as
predicted, but won. Rams lose to New Orleans? The Lions lose
to a Falcon team that's given up TONS of defensive yardage
all year? And we won't even talk about Carolina's upset of the
Niners. By the time the dust had settled, we need a Dallas
cover to hit 50% and be 7-7. As you likely have read on other
web pages, November is a tricky month to handicap, as many teams
run out of gas, injuries hamper good teams (see: San
Francisco), and predictability goes out the window.
Stability also takes a vacation until Thanksgiving, so
keep your bets at a minimum, and we'll keep doing the
research for you and picking the winners!
Hale's Picks for Week 11
- Chiefs - 1: Plain and simple, San Diego
doesn't cover at home against top teams (1 cover in last
8 games). The Chiefs are giving up only one point against the Chargers,
who are #28 in points/yard. In fact, the Chiefs are ranked
significantly higher in almost every category. The Kansas
City defense will stifle an anemic Charger offense.
- Tampa Bay + 5: The Lions laying points?
The rule of thumb is take them, especially against a
mediocre team. Public confidence gets too high when the Lions
take on a not-so-great team, and Detroit is almost coverless in
those situations going back three years. I'm a bit
concerned about the Lion offense, but their horrible defense
will give up what Foster gets them. Five points are a
gift against the Lions, a mediocre team themselves.
- NY Giants + 6.5: The Raiders aren't covering this
season on the road as favorites (2-3 so far). Also, Oakland
covers their next game 1/3 of the time when they're a favorite
after they've won. The Giants have covered 9 of 10 times when
an underdog in an inter-conference game, going back 6 years.
Giants have covered 70% of the time at home when their opponent
has just won. Take the points.
For many more FREE picks this week, ask in e-mail
and I'll get 'em right out to ya!
RETURN TO HOME PAGE
Give us your
feedback!
Last revised on November 6, 1995