Hale's NFL Picks

Playoffs Round 1 in Review

The second round starts Saturday. Will you get the winning picks with tons of analysis, trends, angles and statistics?

Hale's Picks for Week 19

• San Fran/Green Bay UNDER 52
  
• Chiefs - 8:Just *how* good are these Chiefs? They're undefeated at home, yet they seem to get no respect. This might be because they failed to cover against some teams (Pats, Oilers) in Arrowhead when laying around a touchdown, and the Oilers are somewhat similar to these unpredictable Colts. (Did Hale read it right where KC held Seattle to less than 100 yards TOTAL offense 2 weeks ago at home?) Clearly, all the trends seem to be going KC's way: they're over 70% ATS when favored against an opponent who's just won (even higher at home), and over 75% ATS when playing a so-so team, statistically. Indianapolis, OTOH, is gets over-valued when they've just won and/or covered (around 25% ATS the next game). In fact, when the Colts are on the road after just covering, they're 1-8 ATS (0-3 this season). The Chiefs' defense is #1 or #2 in the NFL in most significant categories, and should keep Indy away from the end zone. The KC defense is keeping opponents' scores way down (9 points per game over the last 4), and should easily manhandle the over-rated and spent Colts.

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