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Hale's picks cooled off considerably recently. In Week 16, all games went 8-7, with non-picks doing better than picks (7-3 v. 1-4). Hey, Hale lost cash on it too, since he puts his money where his mouth is.
This caps a cold spell the past three weeks where picks have gone 4-10. In the weeks before that, picks were 9-2, so it's a volatile stock market this year!
Ready for the playoffs?
>FALCONS - 3 Winner!
When the Falcons are homefavs after two away games, they're 5-13 ATS. The Falcons
have covered better against mutual foes, and have scored an average of 10 more points
while allowing just 4 more on defense than Miami's great D. Miami's offense was able
to manage only 9 points against the other tough team they faced on the road (Jets), and
Atlanta has been rolling over teams with about 30 ppg at home. Overall, while Miami's
defense is great, they don't have the running game to complement Marino's arm against a
respectable Falcons squad.
>COWBOYS - 3 Winner!
Hale sees a Redskin bandwagon, and resists the temptation. For starters, the Redskins
don't do well against top scoring defenses (3-16 on the road). When the Cowboys play a
team that just won three straight, they're 10-1 homefavs, and 16-7 if both are just off a
win. Roaddogs who just had a higher scoring game getting a few points off a team involved
in a 20-point game are 7-17 ATS the past 6 years. The Cowboys have scored better against
common opponents, giving up an average of 6 fewer points, and have covered head-to-head 5
of 7 in Dallas. The Cowboys should take advantage of a huge advantage when they have the
ball, and spit the Redskin defense out on a cover by a TD.
So far, we're 11-4 counting all games, while picks were a perfect 4-0.
Among the other predictions Hale made for Week 17...
"Overall, while Miami's defense is great, they don't have the running game to
complement Marino's arm against a respectable Falcons squad."
Miami rushes for 38 yards on 19 carries while Marino gets
over 350 yards as the Falcons win in a landslide
"It'll be interesting to see if New York can score 30 against New England, since
only one team has this year (when NE's on the road). The Jets
have the better offense and defense, and matchup well as Parcells sticks it tohis old team
yet again."
New York scores 31 and Parcells gets the Patriots again
"The Bills have outscored common foes by 8 more while allowing 3 fewer, and with
their passing average and scoring offense, should beat the Saints by 7."
Ok. Hale was wrong. They beat 'em by 12, but
still covered the 3-point spread!
"Hale looks for the Bears to pull a surprise off and keep this closer than people
expect."
Three points is pretty darn close. Bears take the
7-point spread and cover.
"Tampa Bay should storm out to a nice lead and coast to a 17-point win."
Hale knew it'd be a blowout, but not many people called for
a 35-point shutout. Blowout City either way!
"What might make the difference here is that the San Diego defense is one of the
league's best, which could keep them close enough to cover."
Lessee here... 25 yards rushing on 18 carries for the
Cardinals? Four interceptions forced by the San Diego secondary? Close enough
to cover indeed as the Chargers take the points and cover thanks to great D.